Milan Puskar StadiumClosing line: WVU -41.5 · WVU covered
Sat, Aug 30, 6:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROBE | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| WVU | 7 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = ROBE ahead, below = WVU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
WVU up 21 entering the 4th quarter. Across 671 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Robert Morris 3, West Virginia 45.
Yes — the model's pick (WVU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had WVU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 59 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 46 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
Jaylen Henderson run for 18 yds to the RMU 42 for a 1ST down
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