Huntington Bank StadiumClosing line: MINN -43 · MINN covered
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MINN | 35 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 66 |
Team stats
NORTthis game · better side highlightedMINN
42
Total yards
48423
Passing yards
22619
Rushing yards
2582
First downs
252-10 · 20%
Third down
2-6 · 33%Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
MINN (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: MINN 100%
Drive-by-drive
NORT 2/13 scoring drives← own end zone →MINN 8/11 scoring drives
NORTTD1 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q1
NORTPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q1
MINNTD7 pl, 50 yds· midfieldQ1
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
MINN up 66 entering the 4th quarter. Across 60 historically comparable game states (within ±5 pts and ±8 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
MINN went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. Minnesota?
Northwestern State 0, Minnesota 66.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (MINN) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had MINN pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.