Northwestern State vs. Minnesota: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Northwestern State

Minnesota1-0

▸

Final

Huntington Bank Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
NORT	0	0	0	0	0
MINN	35	24	7	0	66

NORTTeam statsMINN

42Total yards484

23Pass226

19Rush258

2First downs25

2-103rd down2-6

4Turnovers1

20:32Possession33:13

Q3 11:47MINNMax Shikenjanski 8 Yd Run (Daniel Jackson Kick)0–66
Q2 2:38MINNBrady Denaburg 27 Yd Field Goal 0–59
Q2 5:40MINNFame Ijeboi 22 Yd pass from Max Shikenjanski (Daniel Jackson Kick)0–56
Q2 10:43MINNCam Davis 7 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)0–49
Q2 12:20MINNJavon Tracy 45 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick)0–42
Q1 0:27MINNMatt Kingsbury 25 Yd Fumble Return (Brady Denaburg Kick)0–35
Q1 1:07MINNDrake Lindsey 1 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)0–28
Q1 5:32MINNLe'Meke Brockington 7 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)0–21
Q1 9:33MINNA.J. Turner 1 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)0–14
Q1 14:54MINNJohn Nestor 29 Yd Interception Return (Brady Denaburg Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

MINN −43

Against the number

MINN covered

line MINN −43

What the numbers say

NORT played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and MINN did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.6 vs 3rd & 5.8

Kickoff114 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

MINN (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: MINN 100%

Closing line

MINN −43

Closing total

51.0

Model line

—

Actual result

NORT 0 – 66 MINN

Northwestern State

PassEli Anderson 3/4, 13 YDS
RushJeremiah James 3 CAR, 8 YDS
RecMyion Hicks 2 REC, 10 YDS

Minnesota

PassDrake Lindsey 8/9, 139 YDS, 1 TD
RushGrant Washington 20 CAR, 126 YDS
RecKenric Lanier II 2 REC, 59 YDS

29.9sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

Points / snap

0.67

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

MINN up 66 entering the 4th quarter. Across 60 historically comparable game states (within ±5 pts and ±8 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

MINN went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WOklahoma vs Arkansas State73-0 WOle Miss vs Furman76-0 WSyracuse vs Colgate65-0 WTennessee vs Kent State71-0 WDavidson vs Laurinburg84-6

FAQ

What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. Minnesota?

Northwestern State 0, Minnesota 66.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (MINN) was correct.

NORT

MINN

11%

Success rate

69%

-0.69

EPA / pass

0.47

-0.32

EPA / rush

0.33

Early-down success

74%

12%

Pass success

63%

10%

Rush success

72%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

11%

50%

Stuffed rush rate

12%

46%

Pass rate

31%

8.6

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.8

NORT

8.6 yards to go on 3rd down

37 scrimmage snaps

MINN

5.8 yards to go on 3rd down

62 scrimmage snaps

NORT		MINN
42	Total yards	484
23	Passing yards	226
19	Rushing yards	258
2	First downs	25
2-10	3rd down	2-6
0-0	4th down	1-2
9/15	Comp/Att	13/17
1.5	Yards per pass	13.3
0.9	Yards per rush	5.6
4	Turnovers	1
2-13	Penalties	4-45
20:32	Possession	33:13

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

NORTTeam statsMINN

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. Minnesota?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Northwestern State vs. Minnesota: Final Score & Recap

NORTTeam statsMINN

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. Minnesota?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?