Sat, Sep 6, 11:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
| CSU | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
NORT up 3 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,457 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Northern Colorado 17, Colorado State 21.
No — the model picked NORT, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had NORT pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Eric Gibson Jr. pass intercepted Jahari Rogers return for 16 yds to the CSU 16
Lloyd Avant run for 5 yds to the UNCO 40 Lloyd Avant fumbled, recovered by UNCO Sione Tuha
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the UNCO 15
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
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