| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERR | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| KENT | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
KENT up 8 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,588 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Merrimack 17, Kent State 21.
No — the model picked MERR, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had MERR pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Dru DeShields pass complete to Cade Wolford for 79 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)
CJ Montes pass complete to Cade Wolford for 30 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)
Ayden Pereira run for 25 yds to the KENT 22 for a 1ST down
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