| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCNE | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| USU | 13 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 48 |
Pick: MCNE · 43 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
USU up 41 entering the 4th quarter. Across 198 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
McNeese 7, Utah State 48.
No — the model picked MCNE, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had MCNE pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Kahanu Davis 45 Yd pass from Bryson Barnes (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
Javen Jacobs run for 5 yds to the MCN 20 Javen Jacobs fumbled, recovered by MCN Shyaub Brinkley
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 53 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK) (Tanner Rinker KICK)
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