Liberty
Conference USA· Elo 1502
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIN | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| LIB | 0 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 28 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
Tied entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,332 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Maine 7, Liberty 28.
Yes — the model's pick (LIB) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had LIB pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Sincere Baines run for 77 yds for a TD (Samuel Tremblay KICK)
Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty'ee Stephens for 20 yds to the LIB 32 for a 1ST down
Sincere Baines run for 26 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down
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