Louisiana Tech vs. Washington State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
LTTeam statsWSU
- Q4 1:12WSUKirby Vorhees 19 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)3–28
- Q4 13:30WSUZevi Eckhaus 1 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)3–21
- Q2 0:00LTDrew Henderson 51 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q2 12:11WSUZevi Eckhaus 7 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:51WSUJoshua Meredith 23 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassEvan Bullock 4/10, 36 YDS
- RushAndrew Burnette 5 CAR, 39 YDS
- RecEli Finley 3 REC, 21 YDS
- PassZevi Eckhaus 17/25, 146 YDS, 1 TD
- RushKirby Vorhees 16 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
- RecJoshua Meredith 5 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWSU up 11 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,142 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 8:51WSU +17%
Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass complete short middle to #18 J.Meredith caught at LAT10, for 23 yards to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q2 12:11WSU +14%
Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus rush left for 7 yards gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 0:00LT +8%
Drew Henderson 51 Yd Field Goal
- Q4 13:30WSU +6%
#4 Z.Eckhaus rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAT00 TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 4:56WSU +5%
Shotgun #4 Z.Eckhaus pass incomplete short right to #18 J.Meredith thrown to LAT30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LAT Pass Interference (#1 M.Richard) WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Con…
- Q3 10:49WSU +5%
#98 R.Harris punt 48 yards to the LAT00, Touchback
FAQ
What was the final score of Louisiana Tech vs. Washington State?
Louisiana Tech 3, Washington State 28.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WSU) was correct.
| LT | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 167 | Total yards | 303 |
| 60 | Passing yards | 146 |
| 107 | Rushing yards | 157 |
| 11 | First downs | 19 |
| 3-11 | 3rd down | 6-13 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 9/21 | Comp/Att | 17/25 |
| 2.9 | Yards per pass | 5.8 |
| 3.6 | Yards per rush | 4.0 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 5-50 | Penalties | 9-90 |
| 24:57 | Possession | 35:03 |
Costliest call
Q2 7:30 WSU punt on 4th & 1 at WSU 29. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.11 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:12WSUKirby Vorhees 19 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)3–28
- Q4 13:30WSUZevi Eckhaus 1 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)3–21
- Q2 0:00LTDrew Henderson 51 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q2 12:11WSUZevi Eckhaus 7 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:51WSUJoshua Meredith 23 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (WSU Elo 1434, LT Elo 1462 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects WSU -1.3 (55% to win) — 8.7 points clear of LT's market line of -10. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| LT | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2 (#70) | CORE overall | +10.0 (#40) |
| -6 / -4 | offense / defense | +3 / -7 |
| 2.08 | points / drive | 2.11 |
| 1.61 | allowed / drive | 1.86 |
| 31% | three-and-outs | 27% |
| -9 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →