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Jackson State vs. Southern Miss: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Sep 6, 9:00 PM
M. M. Roberts Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACK | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20 |
| USM | 14 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 38 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
USM (top)JACK (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: USM 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
JACK 5/12 scoring drives← own end zone →USM 5/11 scoring drives
JACKTD6 pl, 13 yds· own 25Q1
JACKPUNT6 pl, 11 yds· own 13Q1
USMMISS4 pl, 6 yds· opp 33Q1
JACKFG8 pl, 44 yds· own 27Q1
USMTD12 pl, 87 yds· own 13Q1
JACKTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
USMFG7 pl, 58 yds· own 25Q2
JACKPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 35Q2
USMPUNT7 pl, 10 yds· own 40Q2
JACKINT10 pl, 50 yds· own 10Q2
USMMISS5 pl, 19 yds· own 45Q2
JACKEND2 pl, -8 yds· own 36Q2
USMPUNT5 pl, 20 yds· own 38Q3
JACKPUNT9 pl, 21 yds· own 5Q3
USMTD7 pl, 45 yds· opp 45Q3
JACKPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q3
USMTD11 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q3
JACKFG4 pl, 0 yds· opp 23Q4
USMTD7 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
JACKTD11 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
USMPUNT4 pl, 12 yds· own 30Q4
JACKINT5 pl, 24 yds· own 29Q4
USMEND2 pl, 1 yds· opp 40Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
USM up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
94%
USM went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Jackson State vs. Southern Miss?
Jackson State 20, Southern Miss 38.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked JACK, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I had JACK pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.