#1Braylon Braxton

QB·Southern Miss·2025

Braylon Braxton is a Dual-Threat QB for Southern Miss. Braylon's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 470 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Braylon Braxton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

254/400 Comp/Att3053 Pass yards24 Pass TD8 INT63.5% Comp %

Rushing

215 Rush yards1 Rush TD98 Carries2.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat57
Consistency86
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.57 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs App State (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsMississippi State	L17-34	4.1	26/39	199	2	1	52.3	58	0	0.22
2	vsJackson State	W38-20	—	20/30	214	3	0	43.5	20	0	0.29
3	vsApp State	W38-22	-11.4	22/30	279	2	1	68.5	27	0	0.57
4	@Louisiana Tech	L20-30	-1.3	28/47	392	2	1	55.5	23	0	0.19
5	vsJacksonville State	W42-25	-6.7	13/22	152	2	0	41.0	41	1	0.46
7	@Georgia Southern	W38-35	-9.4	19/28	237	2	0	63.9	17	0	0.17
8	@Louisiana	W22-10	-10.1	13/18	237	1	1	48.4	9	0	0.38
9	vsUL Monroe	W49-21	-21.6	18/23	248	4	0	65.4	20	0	0.35
11	@Arkansas State	W27-21	-8.8	20/29	228	1	1	38.4	5	0	0.20
13	@South Alabama	L35-42	-12.7	31/52	400	3	1	30.8	-23	0	0.18
14	vsTroy	L18-28	-4.8	20/35	209	1	1	43.2	-3	0	0.14
20	vsWestern Kentucky	L16-27	1.6	24/47	258	1	1	39.5	21	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

58.2%

Passing plays

97.1%

Rushing plays

19.2%

Standard downs

51.6%

Passing downs

70.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.12
Passing downs: 0.44
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.28 / 0.18

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).