Georgia Southern vs. James Madison: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
GASOTeam statsJMU
- Q3 0:40GASOTaylor Bradshaw 12 Yd pass from JC French IV (Tripp Bryant Kick)10–35
- Q3 1:57JMUJordan Fuller 26 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)3–35
- Q3 8:59JMULacota Dippre 17 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick)3–28
- Q2 4:01JMUCurtis Harris-Lopez 88 Yd Kickoff Return (Morgan Suarez Kick)3–21
- Q2 4:15GASOTripp Bryant 26 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q2 9:15JMUAlonza Barnett III 4 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)0–14
- Q1 7:23JMUWayne Knight 40 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassJC French IV 14/24, 165 YDS, 1 TD
- RushDavid Mbadinga 3 CAR, 14 YDS
- RecCamden Brown 5 REC, 111 YDS
- PassAlonza Barnett III 11/22, 148 YDS, 1 TD
- RushWayne Knight 19 CAR, 151 YDS, 1 TD
- RecLacota Dippre 2 REC, 42 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsJMU up 25 entering the 4th quarter. Across 584 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Georgia Southern vs. James Madison?
Georgia Southern 10, James Madison 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (JMU) was correct.
| GASO | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 192 | Total yards | 479 |
| 165 | Passing yards | 148 |
| 27 | Rushing yards | 331 |
| 10 | First downs | 29 |
| 4-14 | 3rd down | 8-13 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 14/24 | Comp/Att | 11/22 |
| 6.9 | Yards per pass | 6.7 |
| 1.0 | Yards per rush | 6.2 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 2-20 | Penalties | 7-60 |
| 24:10 | Possession | 35:50 |
Costliest call
Q4 11:54 GASO punt on 4th & 2 at GASO 46. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.81 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q3 0:40GASOTaylor Bradshaw 12 Yd pass from JC French IV (Tripp Bryant Kick)10–35
- Q3 1:57JMUJordan Fuller 26 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)3–35
- Q3 8:59JMULacota Dippre 17 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick)3–28
- Q2 4:01JMUCurtis Harris-Lopez 88 Yd Kickoff Return (Morgan Suarez Kick)3–21
- Q2 4:15GASOTripp Bryant 26 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q2 9:15JMUAlonza Barnett III 4 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)0–14
- Q1 7:23JMUWayne Knight 40 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (JMU Elo 1636, GASO Elo 1357 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects JMU -13.6 (82% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 15 · through week 2 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| GASO | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| -14.7 (#105) | CORE overall | +20.6 (#13) |
| +2 / +17 | offense / defense | +5 / -16 |
| 2.55 | points / drive | 3.06 |
| 3.06 | allowed / drive | 1.42 |
| 27% | three-and-outs | 22% |
| +3 | pass over expected | -3 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →