Ohio
1-2·Mid-American· Elo 1572
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GARD | 14 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 35 |
| OHIO | 3 | 28 | 7 | 14 | 52 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
OHIO up 17 entering the 4th quarter. Across 841 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Gardner-Webb 35, Ohio 52.
Yes — the model's pick (OHIO) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had OHIO pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Nate Hampton pass complete to Quasean Holmes for 68 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)
Nate Hampton pass complete to Chris Lofton for 42 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)
Carson Gresock run for 48 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)
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