| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| LOU | 21 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 51 |
Team stats
Gridpex Model Prediction
Game flow
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = EAST ahead, below = LOU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season stats — 2025
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
LOU up 41 entering the 4th quarter. Across 198 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Eastern Kentucky vs. Louisville?
Eastern Kentucky 17, Louisville 51.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (LOU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had LOU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.