Colgate vs. Syracuse: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats

Colgate

Syracuse1-1
▸Final
JMA Wireless Dome
COLGTeam statsSYR
408Total yards620
301Pass447
107Rush173
25First downs32
8-183rd down7-10
3Turnovers2
33:21Possession26:39
- Q4 4:54SYRLuke Carney 9 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)24–66
- Q4 6:26SYRGabe Daniels 12 Yd pass from Rickie Collins (Tripp Woody Kick)24–59
- Q4 9:27COLGCole Fulton 44 Yd Run (Luke Vogeler Kick)24–52
- Q4 11:03SYRSteve Angeli 1 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)17–52
- Q3 0:00COLGReed Swanson 23 Yd pass from Jake Stearney (Luke Vogeler Kick)17–45
- Q3 4:36COLGReed Swanson 12 Yd pass from Jake Stearney (Luke Vogeler Kick)10–45
- Q3 9:13SYRDarien Williams 26 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–45
- Q2 1:43SYRJaylan Hornsby 25 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–38
- Q2 6:50SYRDarrell Gill Jr. 35 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–31
- Q2 10:06SYRTripp Woody 22 Yd Field Goal 3–24
- Q2 14:00SYRWill Nixon 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)3–21
- Q1 2:12SYRDarrell Gill Jr. 43 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–14
- Q1 5:48COLGLuke Vogeler 39 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 10:30SYRJustus Ross-Simmons 26 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
SYR −37
Against the number
SYR covered
line SYR −37
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
SYR (top)COLG (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: SYR 100%
Closing line
SYR −37
Closing total
64.5
Model line
—
Actual result
COLG 24 – 66 SYR
Colgate
- PassJake Stearney 14/20, 148 YDS, 2 TD
- RushCole Fulton 7 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
- RecReed Swanson 7 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD
Syracuse
- PassSteve Angeli 23/31, 382 YDS, 5 TD
- RushWill Nixon 12 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDarrell Gill Jr. 6 REC, 152 YDS, 2 TD
23sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
156
Points / snap
0.58
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsSYR up 28 entering the 4th quarter. Across 465 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
99%
SYR went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Colgate vs. Syracuse?
Colgate 24, Syracuse 66.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (SYR) was correct.
COLG
SYR
39%
Success rate
56%
0.02
EPA / pass
0.95
0.12
EPA / rush
0.20
39%
Early-down success
54%
39%
Pass success
61%
39%
Rush success
51%
8%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
18%
27%
Stuffed rush rate
14%
69%
Pass rate
52%
6.2
Avg 3rd-down distance
5.6
COLG
6.2 yards to go on 3rd down
83 scrimmage snaps
SYR
5.6 yards to go on 3rd down
73 scrimmage snaps
| COLG | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 408 | Total yards | 620 |
| 301 | Passing yards | 447 |
| 107 | Rushing yards | 173 |
| 25 | First downs | 32 |
| 8-18 | 3rd down | 7-10 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 30/54 | Comp/Att | 27/37 |
| 5.6 | Yards per pass | 12.1 |
| 3.7 | Yards per rush | 4.9 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 6-42 | Penalties | 6-65 |
| 33:21 | Possession | 26:39 |
COLG
7/7 with the model
nothing given up
SYR
1/2 with the model
−0.3 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q2 10:06 SYR field goal on 4th & 4 at COLG 4. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.34 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishCOLG 4/14 scoring drives← own end zone →SYR 10/15 scoring drives
COLGPUNT4 pl, 13 yds· own 25Q1
SYRTD7 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q1
COLGINT4 pl, 14 yds· own 25Q1
SYRFUM1 pl, 8 yds· own 34Q1
COLGFG6 pl, 20 yds· opp 42Q1
SYRTD9 pl, 83 yds· own 17Q1
COLGPUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 25Q1
SYRTD5 pl, 36 yds· opp 36Q1
COLGDOWNS6 pl, 28 yds· own 25Q2
SYRFG5 pl, 49 yds· own 47Q2
COLGPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q2
SYRTD6 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q2
COLGPUNT5 pl, 18 yds· own 25Q2
SYRTD6 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q2
COLGINT11 pl, 68 yds· own 25Q2
SYREND1 pl, -2 yds· own 20Q2
SYRPUNT6 pl, 12 yds· own 24Q3
COLGUncateg6 pl, 6 yds· own 20Q3
SYRTD3 pl, 26 yds· opp 26Q3
COLGTD11 pl, 90 yds· own 10Q3
SYRINT5 pl, 13 yds· own 25Q3
COLGTD8 pl, 60 yds· own 42Q3
SYRTD9 pl, 71 yds· own 29Q4
COLGTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
SYRTD7 pl, 93 yds· own 7Q4
COLGFUM4 pl, -10 yds· own 25Q4
SYRTD2 pl, 13 yds· opp 13Q4
COLGMISS9 pl, 43 yds· own 25Q4
SYREND1 pl, 5 yds· own 32Q4
- Q4 4:54SYRLuke Carney 9 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)24–66
- Q4 6:26SYRGabe Daniels 12 Yd pass from Rickie Collins (Tripp Woody Kick)24–59
- Q4 9:27COLGCole Fulton 44 Yd Run (Luke Vogeler Kick)24–52
- Q4 11:03SYRSteve Angeli 1 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)17–52
- Q3 0:00COLGReed Swanson 23 Yd pass from Jake Stearney (Luke Vogeler Kick)17–45
- Q3 4:36COLGReed Swanson 12 Yd pass from Jake Stearney (Luke Vogeler Kick)10–45
- Q3 9:13SYRDarien Williams 26 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–45
- Q2 1:43SYRJaylan Hornsby 25 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–38
- Q2 6:50SYRDarrell Gill Jr. 35 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–31
- Q2 10:06SYRTripp Woody 22 Yd Field Goal 3–24
- Q2 14:00SYRWill Nixon 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)3–21
- Q1 2:12SYRDarrell Gill Jr. 43 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–14
- Q1 5:48COLGLuke Vogeler 39 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 10:30SYRJustus Ross-Simmons 26 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →
