Pratt & Whitney StadiumClosing line: CONN -28.5 · CONN covered
Sat, Aug 30, 6:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENT | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| CONN | 14 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 59 |
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = CENT ahead, below = CONN ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
CONN up 32 entering the 4th quarter. Across 373 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Central Connecticut 13, UConn 59.
Yes — the model's pick (CONN) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had CONN pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 80 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
Cam Edwards run for 73 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
Brady Olson pass complete to Dave Pardo for 37 yds to the CONN 32 for a 1ST down
Team boards, recruiting & CFB talk — start a thread.
Open the boards →