BYU vs. Colorado: Final Score & Recap
Sun, Sep 28, 2:15 AM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
| COLO | 14 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (COLO Elo 1617, BYU Elo 1703) plus home-field advantage. That projects COLO +1 (47% to win) — 5.5 points of value on COLO versus the market line of +6.5.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: BYU · 15 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Offense
Defense
Key matchups · Pro
- BYU pass offense (0.28 PPA) vs. COLO pass defense (0.41 allowed) — edge COLO.
- BYU rush offense (0.20 PPA) vs. COLO rush defense (0.11 allowed) — edge BYU.
- COLO pass offense (0.22 PPA) vs. BYU pass defense (0.18 allowed) — edge COLO.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
COLO up 4 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,449 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of BYU vs. Colorado?
BYU 24, Colorado 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (BYU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
Called it — I had BYU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.