Notre Dame vs. Georgia: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
NDTeam statsUGA
- Q4 13:47NDMitch Jeter 47 Yd Field Goal 23–10
- Q3 9:36UGACash Jones 32 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)20–10
- Q3 14:45NDJayden Harrison 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Mitch Jeter Kick)20–3
- Q2 0:27NDBeaux Collins 13 Yd pass from Riley Leonard (Mitch Jeter Kick)13–3
- Q2 0:39NDMitch Jeter 48 Yd Field Goal 6–3
- Q2 8:20NDMitch Jeter 44 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q2 12:14UGAPeyton Woodring 41 Yd Field Goal 0–3
How the model called it
- PassRiley Leonard 15/24, 90 YDS, 1 TD
- RushRiley Leonard 14 CAR, 80 YDS
- RecJordan Faison 4 REC, 46 YDS
- PassGunner Stockton 20/32, 234 YDS, 1 TD
- RushTrevor Etienne 11 CAR, 38 YDS
- RecArian Smith 1 REC, 67 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Notre Dame vs. Georgia?
Notre Dame 23, Georgia 10.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ND) was correct.
| ND | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 244 | Total yards | 296 |
| 90 | Passing yards | 234 |
| 154 | Rushing yards | 62 |
| 14 | First downs | 16 |
| 4-14 | 3rd down | 2-12 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 0-3 |
| 15/24 | Comp/Att | 20/32 |
| 3.8 | Yards per pass | 7.3 |
| 4.2 | Yards per rush | 2.1 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 10-75 | Penalties | 5-36 |
| 31:47 | Possession | 28:13 |
- Q4 13:47NDMitch Jeter 47 Yd Field Goal 23–10
- Q3 9:36UGACash Jones 32 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)20–10
- Q3 14:45NDJayden Harrison 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Mitch Jeter Kick)20–3
- Q2 0:27NDBeaux Collins 13 Yd pass from Riley Leonard (Mitch Jeter Kick)13–3
- Q2 0:39NDMitch Jeter 48 Yd Field Goal 6–3
- Q2 8:20NDMitch Jeter 44 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q2 12:14UGAPeyton Woodring 41 Yd Field Goal 0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (UGA Elo 2019, ND Elo 2163 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects UGA +5.8 (36% to win) — 4.8 points clear of ND's market line of +1. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2024
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#121 of 129 in 2024 by longest odds · #48 of 60 in 2024 by biggest poll gap.
The 2024 upset archive →| ND | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| +31.5 (#2) | CORE overall | +18.8 (#11) |
| +12 / -19 | offense / defense | +9 / -10 |
| 3.19 | points / drive | 2.76 |
| 1.31 | allowed / drive | 1.90 |
| 19% | three-and-outs | 22% |
| +1 | pass over expected | +11 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →