Temple vs. Maryland: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
TEMTeam statsMD
- Q4 4:11TEMShaun Bradley 78 Yd Interception Return (Will Mobley Kick)35–14
- Q4 8:21MDJesse Aniebonam 27 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Joseph Petrino Kick)28–14
- Q3 12:10TEMKenny Yeboah 47 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick)28–7
- Q2 0:07TEMRob Ritrovato 2 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)21–7
- Q2 3:23MDDarnell Savage Jr. 23 Yd Interception Return (Joseph Petrino Kick)14–7
- Q2 6:38TEMFreddie Booth-Lloyd 1 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)14–0
- Q1 2:33TEMFreddie Johnson 36 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Will Mobley Kick)7–0
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- MD played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and TEM did not face the same ones. 3rd & 11.8 vs 3rd & 6.3
- MD lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 14% explosive on a 31% success rate
- PassAnthony Russo 15/25, 228 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushRyquell Armstead 26 CAR, 118 YDS
- RecFreddie Johnson 3 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
- PassKasim Hill 7/17, 56 YDS, 1 INT
- RushAnthony McFarland Jr. 11 CAR, 107 YDS
- RecDJ Turner 4 REC, 38 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTEM up 21 entering the 4th quarter. Across 671 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 2:33TEM +18%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Freddie Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
- Q2 6:38TEM +15%
Freddie Booth-Lloyd run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
- Q2 0:07TEM +15%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
- Q2 3:23MD +11%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted for a TD Darnell Savage Jr. return for 23 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8 (Joseph Petrino KICK)
- Q3 12:10TEM +7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 47 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
FAQ
What was the final score of Temple vs. Maryland?
Temple 35, Maryland 14.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TEM) was correct.
| TEM | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 429 | Total yards | 195 |
| 264 | Passing yards | 63 |
| 165 | Rushing yards | 132 |
| 21 | First downs | 11 |
| 6-17 | 3rd down | 1-12 |
| 2-4 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 16/28 | Comp/Att | 8/21 |
| 9.4 | Yards per pass | 3.0 |
| 3.2 | Yards per rush | 4.3 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 4-50 | Penalties | 5-35 |
| 36:33 | Possession | 23:27 |
Costliest call
Q3 9:37 TEM go for it on 4th & 13 at MD 29. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 1.00 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 4:11TEMShaun Bradley 78 Yd Interception Return (Will Mobley Kick)35–14
- Q4 8:21MDJesse Aniebonam 27 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Joseph Petrino Kick)28–14
- Q3 12:10TEMKenny Yeboah 47 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick)28–7
- Q2 0:07TEMRob Ritrovato 2 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)21–7
- Q2 3:23MDDarnell Savage Jr. 23 Yd Interception Return (Joseph Petrino Kick)14–7
- Q2 6:38TEMFreddie Booth-Lloyd 1 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)14–0
- Q1 2:33TEMFreddie Johnson 36 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Will Mobley Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (MD Elo 1408, TEM Elo 1508 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects MD +1.6 (47% to win) — 17.1 points clear of TEM's market line of -15.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2018
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#11 of 109 in 2018 by biggest miss · #10 of 122 in 2018 by longest odds.
The 2018 upset archive →Maryland leads 7–3 · Temple has won 2 straight · 40% have been one-possession games
| TEM | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| +4.8 (#45) | CORE overall | +8.3 (#33) |
| +0 / -4 | offense / defense | +3 / -6 |
| 2.29 | points / drive | 2.14 |
| 1.79 | allowed / drive | 2.08 |
| 30% | three-and-outs | 29% |
| +2 | pass over expected | -13 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →