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Georgia State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 8-21 · AdjEM -8.1, 278 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-8.1278 of 364
AdjO
100.3310 of 364
AdjD
108.3214 of 364
AdjT
70.0177 of 364

Georgia State went from -3.3 (#268) on 2025-11-10 to -8.1 (#278) on 2026-04-06, peaking at -3.3 (#268) on 2025-11-10.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
44.3%361
TOV%
14.7%118
OREB%
53.2%352
FTA/FGA
36.5%140
Opp eFG%
50.5%124
Opp TOV%
15.2%201
DREB%
37.2%32
Opp FTA/FGA
34.3%158

Games8-21

“Ours” is our projected margin for Georgia State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03@Eastern MichiganL 49-71—
11-04@Northwestern State——
11-07@CincinnatiL 64-74—
11-10vsPresbyterianL 61-63—
11-17@Arizona StateL 62-75-16.2
11-21@South Dakota StateL 58-105-12.8
11-25vsSamfordL 63-78+4.5
11-26@New Mexico StateL 58-77-14.0
12-02@MercerL 67-78-17.8
12-06@Kennesaw StateL 69-92-15.2
12-13vsJacksonville StateW 77-73+3.4
12-18@Georgia SouthernL 67-90-14.3
12-20@App StateW 70-63-11.7
12-28vsColumbia—-7.8
12-31@MarshallL 80-84-13.2
01-03@Coastal CarolinaW 89-71-10.8
01-08vsApp StateL 50-52+2.9
01-10vsMarshallW 81-73+0.1
01-17@UL MonroeW 77-57+2.5
01-22vsSouthern MissW 69-62+3.6
01-24vsArkansas StateW 82-81+2.1
01-29@LouisianaL 72-82+2.7
01-31@South AlabamaL 67-69-6.0
02-04vsTroyL 63-74-1.1
02-07vsNorthern IllinoisL 74-75+8.6
02-12@James MadisonL 79-81-5.9
02-14@Old DominionL 55-78-3.6
02-19vsGeorgia SouthernW 66-64+2.8
02-21vsJames MadisonL 65-80+0.7
02-24vsCoastal CarolinaL 71-76+0.8
03-03@LouisianaL 75-84-1.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.