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Northwestern State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Southland · 8-22 · AdjEM -9.0, 291 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-9.0291 of 364
AdjO
101.6292 of 364
AdjD
110.6270 of 364
AdjT
67.5308 of 364

Northwestern State went from -4.8 (#299) on 2025-11-10 to -9.0 (#291) on 2026-04-06, peaking at -4.8 (#299) on 2025-11-10.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.6%298
TOV%
16.7%267
OREB%
122.8%83
FTA/FGA
40.2%59
Opp eFG%
53.0%265
Opp TOV%
15.7%169
DREB%
-11.2%240
Opp FTA/FGA
36.3%219

Games8-22

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northwestern State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-04@Texas A&ML 68-98—
11-06@North TexasL 53-80—
11-11@North AlabamaL 83-87-15.8
11-18@San FranciscoL 64-84-16.1
11-21@Grand CanyonL 72-85-15.1
11-29vsSouthernL 73-75+5.4
12-05@McNeeseL 54-92-19.1
12-07@SE LouisianaW 76-68-10.6
12-13@CaliforniaL 70-79-18.7
12-29vsLamarL 61-76+3.8
12-31vsStephen F. AustinL 64-74-6.6
01-03vsNew OrleansW 74-68-0.2
01-05@NichollsL 72-74-11.3
01-10vsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiW 79-78-1.4
01-12vsUT Rio Grande ValleyW 64-63-2.3
01-17@Incarnate WordL 74-76-9.3
01-19@Houston ChristianL 80-82-4.4
01-27@Stephen F. AustinL 67-69-16.9
01-31@New OrleansL 64-75-7.8
02-02vsNichollsL 58-61+0.3
02-04vsEast Texas A&ML 68-74+4.2
02-07@East Texas A&ML 48-52-3.6
02-09@LamarW 70-68-9.3
02-14vsSE LouisianaW 69-66+2.9
02-16vsMcNeeseL 64-75-9.8
02-21vsHouston ChristianW 71-53+3.6
02-23vsIncarnate WordW 54-49+3.6
02-28@Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiL 59-71-8.2
03-02@UT Rio Grande ValleyL 62-74-13.2
03-08@NichollsL 47-61-6.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.