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Montana State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Sky · 14-14 · AdjEM +3.0, 125 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+3.0125 of 364
AdjO
108.9127 of 364
AdjD
106.0148 of 364
AdjT
67.8298 of 364

Montana State went from -1.6 (#235) on 2025-11-10 to +3.0 (#125) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +3.5 (#127) on 2026-01-19.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.6%81
TOV%
13.8%57
OREB%
184.4%30
FTA/FGA
30.2%304
Opp eFG%
51.9%206
Opp TOV%
14.9%219
DREB%
-108.0%341
Opp FTA/FGA
29.8%56

Games14-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Montana State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03@ColoradoL 78-84—
11-09vsDenverL 73-75—
11-12@StanfordL 68-77-14.9
11-15@Boise StateL 58-62-15.9
11-21@Long Beach StateW 78-72-5.1
11-29@Utah StateL 81-84-16.0
12-03vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaW 82-74+6.8
12-06@Oral RobertsL 68-72-0.2
12-13@Oregon StateL 57-67-1.0
12-16@Cal PolyW 83-80-3.0
01-01vsNorthern ColoradoW 89-75+4.4
01-03vsNorthern ArizonaW 77-68+11.1
01-08@Eastern WashingtonW 68-64+1.4
01-10@IdahoL 89-92-4.2
01-17vsMontanaW 76-67+7.7
01-19@Northern ColoradoW 73-68-3.5
01-22vsIdaho StateW 74-62+5.7
01-24vsWeber StateW 91-88+6.6
01-29@Sacramento StateL 80-83+3.4
01-31@Portland StateL 54-63-3.8
02-05vsIdahoW 73-66+4.9
02-07vsEastern WashingtonL 71-72+10.4
02-14vsMontana State—+3.6
02-19@Weber StateL 79-82-0.3
02-21@Idaho StateL 76-91+0.3
02-26vsPortland StateW 84-69+4.2
02-28vsSacramento StateW 82-61+9.7
03-02@Northern ArizonaW 76-65+4.1
03-08vsIdahoL 74-78+6.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.