Skip to content

Compare College Basketball Teams

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

How would two teams match up, by how much, and at what pace — and where does each rank?

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Team 1: East Tennessee State change (top 100 by AdjEM; any team via its page)
Team 2: Duke change (top 100 by AdjEM; any team via its page)

On a neutral floor the ratings make Duke a 17.5-point favourite at about 68 possessions; at East Tennessee State it is -14.3, at Duke -20.8 (from East Tennessee State's side).

Neutral
-17.5
67.6 poss.
At East Tennessee State
-14.3
67.6 poss.
At Duke
-20.8
67.6 poss.

Margins are from East Tennessee State's side, from the snapshot of 2026-04-06.

MetricEast Tennessee StateDuke
Adjusted efficiency margin+5.598+31.41
Adjusted offence110.1102122.63
Adjusted defence104.711791.23
Adjusted tempo67.630467.6305
Raw offence114.846120.34
Raw defence102.57394.03
Effective FG%55.3%3356.5%15
Turnover rate14.3%8315.0%131
Offensive rebound rate84.7%219104.1%143
Free-throw rate35.0%18138.0%102
Opponent eFG%51.0%15746.5%15
Opponent turnover rate17.4%6216.1%134
Defensive rebound rate16.6%133-13.7%249
Opponent free-throw rate36.4%22123.1%2
Three-point attempt rate37.8%21643.6%97
Raw tempo67.928267.9279

How this is measured

The projection is the existing projectMargin from lib/cbb/ratings: (AdjEM difference ± the fitted home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100, with pace the mean of the two adjusted tempos. It uses the latest snapshot, so it describes the two teams as rated on 2026-04-06 — it is not a line and it is not graded here.

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best; bold marks the better of the two where a metric has a better end.