Free to use, on any site, in print or online — including commercially — as long as the credit link in the snippet stays visible. No account, no key, no email required.
Each widget shows one team’s chance of reaching the 12-team field across 50,000 simulated 2026 seasons, what each further loss would cost that team, and whether winning out is enough. It re-renders itself when the simulation is rebuilt each week, so the numbers on your page never go stale. How the simulation works →
Preview
Exactly what the snippet renders: 560px wide at most, 300px tall, and it updates itself every week.
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Using it well
It is a forecast, not a standing. A percentage is the share of simulated seasons that end with that team in the field.
The loss curve is per team. Loss tolerance is not a league-wide ladder: at three losses one team can be at 86% and another at 4%, because of who each has left to play.
Want a different number? Ask — conference races, power ratings and the what-if simulator can all be framed the same way. Get in touch →