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Xavier Williams

#2Xavier Williams

Xavier Williams is a Committee Back for Kent State. Xavier's 2023 season produced -1.4 total EPA across 34 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Xavier Williams's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
137 Rush yards1 Rush TD42 Carries3.3 Yards/carry
Receiving
1 Receptions1 Rec yards0 Rec TD1.0 Yards/rec
Returns
15 Kick returns340 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume33
  • Explosiveness6
  • Consistency66
  • Receiving21
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.4700.47Wk 1 vs UCF: -0.36 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Arkansas: -0.47 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Central Connecticut: +0.26 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Fresno State: -0.04 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Miami (OH): -0.29 EPA/play5Wk 8 vs Buffalo: -0.45 EPA/play8
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@UCFL6-563.47131.90-0.36
2@ArkansasL6-283.5231.50-0.47
3vsCentral ConnecticutW38-1013554.200.26
4@Fresno StateL10-532.515553.71110-0.04
5vsMiami (OH)L3-232.8492.30-0.29
6@OhioL17-42-1.6
8vsBuffaloL6-24-15.2122.00-0.45
10@AkronL27-31-21.6
11vsBowling GreenL19-49-7.8
13vsNorthern IllinoisL27-37-7.5

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.4%
Passing plays
1.3%
Rushing plays
19.0%
Standard downs
14.3%
Passing downs
6.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.00
Passing downs
-0.19
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.67 / -0.02

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.