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Tyler Buchner

#10Tyler Buchner

Tyler Buchner is a Versatile WR for Notre Dame. A four-star recruit in the class of 2021, Tyler has lived up to his recruiting pedigree.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tyler Buchner's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2021

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.9684
National rank
#71
High school
Helix
Hometown
La Jolla, CA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume4
  • Explosiveness100
  • Consistency50
  • Pass-Down50
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · EPA per play, week by week

WkOpponentResultOpp SP+EPA/playPassRush
7vsNC StateW36-74.82.062.06

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
1.4%
Passing plays
0.0%
Rushing plays
2.7%
Standard downs
2.1%
Passing downs
0.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
2.06
Passing downs
Pass / Rush EPA
— / 2.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.830−0.55
EPA per play · 2021 · 10 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.