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Toa Faavae

Toa Faavae

Toa Faavae is a Volume Passer for New Mexico.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Toa Faavae's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
2 Rush yards0 Rush TD1 Carries2.0 Yards/carry

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

18
Attempts
14.4y
Avg depth
7.1y
After catch
39%
Catch rate

The ball travels 14.4 yards in the air on an average throw 5.9 yards deeper than the median. Another 7.1 comes after the catch.

Where he throws

attempts · completion rate · yards
deep
4
50% · 85y
1
0% · 0y
0
short
5
40% · 27y
2
50% · 5y
6
33% · 17y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume4
  • Dual-Threat0
  • Consistency50
  • Clutch40
Player type
Volume Passer

High-rep offense that leans on this QB's arm — value comes through cumulative production across a high number of plays.

High play countFranchise-volume role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

WkOpponentResultOpp SP+Rush YdsRush TDEPA/play
12vsColorado StateW20-17-15.620-0.45

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
1.5%
Passing plays
0.0%
Rushing plays
2.8%
Standard downs
2.3%
Passing downs
0.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.45
Passing downs
Pass / Rush EPA
— / -0.45

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.