#7Shazz Preston

WR·Tulane·2025

Shazz Preston is a Versatile WR for Tulane. Shazz's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 55 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Shazz Preston's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

43 Receptions723 Rec yards4 Rec TD16.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume18
Explosiveness65
Consistency73
Pass-Down21

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency73th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.28 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 3.02 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Memphis (SP+ 8).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Quadree Henderson	Pittsburgh	2016	63	0.530	1.6	33.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsNorthwestern	W23-3	5.8	1	4	4.0	0	4	-0.09
2	@South Alabama	W33-31	-12.7	1	14	14.0	0	14	-0.06
3	vsDuke	W34-27	6.6	3	95	31.7	0	63	2.03
4	@Ole Miss	L10-45	24.0	3	35	11.7	0	17	0.88
5	@Tulsa	W31-14	-10.0	5	54	10.8	0	19	0.58
7	vsEast Carolina	W26-19	8.0	2	26	13.0	0	15	0.72
8	vsArmy	W24-17	0.8	5	86	17.2	1	26	1.75
10	@UTSA	L26-48	3.7	2	15	7.5	0	15	-0.04
11	@Memphis	W38-32	7.6	3	85	28.3	2	65	3.02
12	vsFlorida Atlantic	W35-24	-8.7	3	29	9.7	0	19	1.08
13	@Temple	W37-13	-5.1	5	96	19.2	1	69	1.28
14	vsCharlotte	W27-0	-26.7	3	43	14.3	0	21	0.20
15	vsNorth Texas	W34-21	13.8	2	16	8.0	0	15	1.15
20	@Ole Miss	L10-41	24.0	5	125	25.0	0	57	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

6.2%

Passing plays

13.6%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

5.4%

Passing downs

8.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 1.01
Passing downs: 0.83
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.94 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).