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Sahmir Hagans

#2Sahmir Hagans

WR·Duke·2024

Sahmir Hagans is a Slot Specialist WR for Duke. Sahmir's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 55 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2024 Production

Receiving
47 Receptions413 Rec yards3 Rec TD8.8 Yards/rec
Returns
3 Kick returns126 KR yards1 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency40th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 1.08 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 5.24 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Georgia Tech (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Elon: +0.74 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Northwestern: +1.31 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs UConn: -0.16 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.50 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs North Carolina: +0.07 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Georgia Tech: +5.24 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Florida State: +0.20 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs SMU: -0.10 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Miami: +1.46 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs NC State: -0.10 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Virginia Tech: +0.00 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Wake Forest: -0.32 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Ole Miss: +0.30 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsElonW26-344110.30140.74
2vsNorthwesternW26-20-8.24358.80111.31
3vsUConnW26-211.5144.004-0.16
4@Middle TennesseeW45-17-24.43217.00100.50
5vsNorth CarolinaW21-205.03134.30140.07
6@Georgia TechL14-241.916565.01655.24
8vsFlorida StateW23-16-3.24153.80120.20
9vsSMUL27-2817.53124.007-0.10
10@MiamiL31-5321.6913915.41341.46
11@NC StateW29-193.94164.019-0.10
13vsVirginia TechW31-2810.02136.50150.00
14@Wake ForestW23-17-5.74112.805-0.32
1vsOle MissL20-5227.95285.60120.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.8%
Passing plays
11.7%
Rushing plays
0.5%
Standard downs
5.5%
Passing downs
9.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.43
Passing downs
0.66
Pass / Rush EPA
0.54 / 0.38

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.