#8Ryan Staub

QB·Colorado·2025

Ryan Staub is a Dual-Threat QB for Colorado. Ryan's 2025 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 60 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ryan Staub's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

30/55 Comp/Att426 Pass yards3 Pass TD4 INT54.5% Comp %

Rushing

30 Rush yards1 Rush TD19 Carries1.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency8
Volume79
Dual-Threat100
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)8th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.65 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Delaware (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
2	vsDelaware	W31-7	-10.9	7/10	157	2	0	98.9	-2	0	0.65
3	@Houston	L20-36	7.4	19/35	204	1	2	27.7	36	0	0.20
9	@Utah	L7-53	22.2	4/8	65	0	0	69.6	-4	1	0.06
10	vsArizona	L17-52	12.0	0/2	0	0	2	0.0	—	—	-1.77

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

27.5%

Passing plays

43.8%

Rushing plays

9.8%

Standard downs

22.1%

Passing downs

35.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.03
Passing downs: 0.57
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.26 / 0.54

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).