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Roc Taylor
Roc Taylor

#3Roc Taylor

WR·Memphis·2024

Roc Taylor is a Versatile WR for Memphis. Roc's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 70 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Roc Taylor's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
66 Receptions950 Rec yards2 Rec TD14.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume23
  • Explosiveness49
  • Consistency87
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.57 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Navy (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.570−1.57Wk 1 vs North Alabama: +0.77 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Troy: +0.75 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Florida State: +0.19 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Navy: +1.57 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.94 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs South Florida: +1.43 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs North Texas: +1.26 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Charlotte: +1.32 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs UTSA: +0.58 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Rice: +1.15 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs UAB: +0.36 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Tulane: +1.18 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsNorth AlabamaW40-0—58717.40450.77
2vsTroyW38-17-6.64276.80120.75
3@Florida StateW20-12-3.225025.00430.19
4@NavyL44-563.5610016.71371.57
5vsMiddle TennesseeW24-7-24.466911.50250.94
7vsSouth FloridaW21-3-2.334214.00241.43
8vsNorth TexasW52-44-4.567312.20201.26
9vsCharlotteW33-28-15.369916.51401.32
10@UTSAL36-442.2811113.90380.58
11vsRiceW27-20-11.445213.00341.15
12vsUABW53-18-11.34287.00170.36
14@TulaneW34-245.779613.70421.18
20vsWest VirginiaW42-372.1511623.2048—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.9%
Passing plays
14.2%
Rushing plays
0.7%
Standard downs
7.1%
Passing downs
9.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.77
Passing downs
1.55
Pass / Rush EPA
1.14 / -1.09

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.