#0Robert Williams

WR·Louisiana·2025

Robert Williams is a Slot Specialist WR for Louisiana. Robert's 2025 season produced 18.4 total EPA across 40 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Robert Williams's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

25 Receptions309 Rec yards0 Rec TD12.4 Yards/rec

Returns

17 Kick returns315 KR yards0 KR TD9 Punt returns29 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume16
Explosiveness36
Consistency31
Pass-Down34

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency31th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.31 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.70 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs South Alabama (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Dane Kinamon	Air Force	2021	39	0.410	0.7	16.0
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2021	41	0.370	0.6	15.2
Micah Davis	Air Force	2021	44	0.370	0.6	16.3
JoJo Natson	Utah State	2014	51	0.390	1.0	19.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsRice	L12-14	-14.8	—	—	—	—	—	0.22
2	vsMcNeese	W34-10	—	2	18	9.0	0	9	0.28
3	@Missouri	L10-52	14.4	—	—	—	—	—	-0.64
4	@Eastern Michigan	L31-34	-14.7	7	71	10.1	0	27	0.50
7	@James Madison	L14-24	12.3	5	134	26.8	0	44	1.02
8	vsSouthern Miss	L10-22	-7.1	1	5	5.0	0	5	0.09
9	@Troy	L23-35	-4.8	1	18	18.0	0	18	0.88
10	@South Alabama	W31-22	-12.7	1	23	23.0	0	23	2.70
11	vsTexas State	W42-39	2.3	—	—	—	—	—	-0.45
13	@Arkansas State	W34-30	-8.8	3	15	5.0	0	6	0.19
14	vsUL Monroe	W30-27	-21.6	1	2	2.0	0	2	-0.53
20	vsDelaware	L13-20	-10.9	4	23	5.8	0	9	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

5.7%

Passing plays

14.1%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

4.2%

Passing downs

8.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.51
Passing downs: 0.41
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.46 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).