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Reymello Murphy

#6Reymello Murphy

WR·UConn·2025

Reymello Murphy is a Versatile WR for UConn. Reymello's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 50 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Reymello Murphy's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
39 Receptions446 Rec yards3 Rec TD11.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume19
  • Explosiveness30
  • Consistency57
  • Pass-Down65
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency57th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Peak game: 2.54 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Florida International (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Savion WilliamsTCU0.4501.125.2
DeAndre HughesAir Force0.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State0.4601.232.2
Dane KinamonAir Force0.4100.716.0
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic0.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.5402.54Wk 1 vs Central Connecticut: +0.73 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Syracuse: +0.34 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Delaware: +1.33 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Ball State: -0.58 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Florida International: +2.54 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Boston College: -0.62 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Rice: +0.22 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs UAB: +1.19 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Duke: +1.01 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Air Force: -0.17 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Florida Atlantic: +0.73 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsCentral ConnecticutW59-134266.51200.73
2@SyracuseL20-27-13.145112.80180.34
3@DelawareL41-44-10.935117.01271.33
4vsBall StateW31-25-23.0263.004-0.58
6vsFlorida InternationalW51-10-10.537826.01612.54
8@Boston CollegeW38-23-8.5177.007-0.62
9@RiceL34-37-14.84194.80100.22
10vsUABW38-19-15.811414.00141.19
11vsDukeW37-346.6511022.00401.01
12vsAir ForceW26-16-3.2133.003-0.17
13@Florida AtlanticW48-45-8.74307.50150.73
20vsArmyL16-410.87517.3028

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.5%
Passing plays
12.1%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
5.7%
Passing downs
8.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.48
Passing downs
0.57
Pass / Rush EPA
0.52 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.