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R.J. Maryland

R.J. Maryland

TE·SMU·2025

R.J. Maryland is a Versatile TE for SMU. R.J.'s 2025 season produced 15.9 total EPA across 38 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So R.J. Maryland's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
27 Receptions322 Rec yards2 Rec TD11.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume14
  • Explosiveness33
  • Consistency63
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency63th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.33 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 2.38 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Boston College (SP+ -9).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Ty ThompsonTulane0.4200.720.2
Seth GreenMinnesota0.3900.032.4
Johnny LanganRutgers0.3000.017.7
Evan SvobodaWyoming0.2900.521.8
Jordan MyersRice0.2700.215.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.3802.38Wk 1 vs East Texas A&M: +0.53 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Baylor: +0.01 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Missouri State: +0.51 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs TCU: +0.71 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Syracuse: +0.66 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Stanford: +0.03 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Clemson: +0.09 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Wake Forest: +0.37 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Miami: -0.42 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Boston College: +2.38 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Louisville: +0.53 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs California: +1.47 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsEast Texas A&MW42-1333411.30140.53
2vsBaylorL45-481.4294.5060.01
3@Missouri StateW28-10-10.73237.71140.51
4@TCUL24-358.311010.00100.71
6vsSyracuseW31-18-13.134013.31240.66
7vsStanfordW34-10-11.82189.0090.03
8@ClemsonW35-249.533311.00170.09
9@Wake ForestL12-135.725125.50490.37
10vsMiamiW26-2020.7166.006-0.42
11@Boston CollegeW45-13-8.524221.00232.38
13vsLouisvilleW38-612.43237.70170.53
14@CaliforniaL35-38-3.223316.50211.47

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
5.0%
Passing plays
9.2%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
6.2%
Passing downs
2.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.17
Passing downs
1.75
Pass / Rush EPA
0.42 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.