#7Nic Trujillo

WR·UL Monroe·2025

Nic Trujillo is a Slot Specialist WR for UL Monroe. Nic's 2025 season produced 14.3 total EPA across 46 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Nic Trujillo's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

23 Receptions368 Rec yards4 Rec TD16.0 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns13 KR yards0 KR TD1 Punt returns4 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume28
Explosiveness60
Consistency46
Pass-Down51

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency46th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.77 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.68 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Texas State (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2020	39	0.320	0.4	12.5
Nick Nash	San José State	2021	45	0.310	0.5	14.0
Ainias Smith	Texas A&M	2020	55	0.310	0.5	17.0
Cade Harris	Air Force	2024	45	0.330	0.5	14.8
Xavier White	Texas Tech	2020	62	0.300	0.5	18.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
6	@Northwestern	L7-42	5.8	2	61	30.5	1	34	0.61
7	@Coastal Carolina	L8-23	-15.1	5	57	11.4	0	34	-0.63
8	vsTroy	L14-37	-4.8	4	25	6.3	1	8	0.10
9	@Southern Miss	L21-49	-7.1	4	19	4.8	0	7	0.12
10	vsOld Dominion	L6-31	5.9	1	44	44.0	0	44	0.03
13	@Texas State	L14-31	2.3	3	29	9.7	0	14	1.68
14	@Louisiana	L27-30	-10.1	4	133	33.3	2	52	0.68

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.8%

Passing plays

21.7%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

7.5%

Passing downs

13.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.31
Passing downs: 0.31
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.31 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).