#14Mike White

QB·Western Kentucky·2017 20165.0 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Mike White is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Western Kentucky. Mike's 2017 season ranks in the 5th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 614 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mike White's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2017 Production

Passing

368/560 Comp/Att4177 Pass yards26 Pass TD8 INT65.7% Comp %

Rushing

-268 Rush yards6 Rush TD64 Carries-4.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

Efficiency5
Volume100
Dual-Threat44
Consistency88
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)5th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency88th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.54 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Charlotte (SP+ -26).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsEastern Kentucky	W31-17	—	20/31	264	1	0	92.1	-18	0	0.46
2	@Illinois	L7-20	-7.4	28/43	238	0	1	30.5	-8	1	0.17
3	vsLouisiana Tech	L22-23	-5.5	25/35	226	0	0	71.2	-19	1	0.40
4	vsBall State	W33-21	-19.7	28/44	319	1	2	44.8	-34	0	0.12
6	@UTEP	W15-14	-27.4	24/37	208	0	0	54.4	6	2	0.21
7	vsCharlotte	W45-14	-26.1	33/47	398	5	0	87.0	2	1	0.54
8	@Old Dominion	W35-31	-16.8	24/34	304	5	1	71.5	-21	0	0.36
9	vsFlorida Atlantic	L28-42	5.1	32/56	371	2	2	67.3	-8	0	0.30
10	@Vanderbilt	L17-31	0.6	31/50	324	0	0	59.5	-24	1	0.23
11	@Marshall	L23-30	-4.5	28/41	334	3	1	53.7	-27	0	0.24
12	vsMiddle Tennessee	W41-38	-4.9	39/54	485	5	0	56.6	-43	0	0.21
13	@Florida International	L17-41	-10.4	30/49	355	2	0	68.1	-29	0	0.26
1	vsGeorgia State	L17-27	-14.0	26/39	351	2	1	31.9	-45	0	0.26

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

63.6%

Passing plays

96.7%

Rushing plays

7.1%

Standard downs

53.8%

Passing downs

86.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.10
Passing downs: 0.56
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.29 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2016 — 2017 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2016	Western Kentucky	11.7	0.650	—	265.8
2017	Western Kentucky	5.0	0.360	-0.29	211.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.