#9Mike Glass III

QB·Eastern Michigan·20196.6 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Mike Glass III is a Dual-Threat QB for Eastern Michigan. Mike's 2019 season ranks in the 28th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 496 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mike Glass III's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Passing

261/391 Comp/Att3074 Pass yards23 Pass TD11 INT66.8% Comp %

Rushing

425 Rush yards8 Rush TD116 Carries3.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs QB peers

Efficiency28
Volume100
Dual-Threat65
Consistency87
Clutch93

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)28th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.12 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.68 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Northern Illinois (SP+ -14).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Coastal Carolina	W30-23	-12.8	20/22	188	3	0	96.6	11	1	0.56
2	@Kentucky	L17-38	9.1	34/53	337	2	2	44.5	35	0	0.33
3	@Illinois	W34-31	0.6	23/36	316	3	0	76.5	37	0	0.39
4	vsCentral Connecticut	W34-29	—	26/39	279	4	2	64.5	16	0	0.32
6	@Central Michigan	L16-42	-4.4	20/34	207	1	1	14.7	13	1	0.05
7	vsBall State	L23-29	-4.5	20/34	283	1	3	54.7	36	2	0.29
9	@Toledo	L34-37	-13.7	21/37	286	1	0	55.7	43	1	0.26
12	@Akron	W42-14	-29.8	20/25	246	0	0	—	83	1	0.59
13	@Northern Illinois	W45-17	-13.9	20/24	235	3	0	—	31	1	0.68
14	vsKent State	L26-34	-10.2	29/37	386	3	2	—	37	0	0.46
1	vsPittsburgh	L30-34	4.1	28/50	311	2	1	—	83	1	0.27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

65.4%

Passing plays

97.5%

Rushing plays

30.6%

Standard downs

60.7%

Passing downs

76.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.26
Passing downs: 0.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.39 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.