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Michael Pratt

#7Michael Pratt

QB·Tulane·202220206.8 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Michael Pratt is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Tulane. Michael's 2022 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 457 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Michael Pratt's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2020

3-Star · Developmental
Stars
247 composite
0.8452
National rank
#1,364
High school
Deerfield Beach
Hometown
Deerfield Beach, FL

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2022 Production

Passing
215/338 Comp/Att3010 Pass yards27 Pass TD5 INT63.6% Comp %
Rushing
478 Rush yards10 Rush TD129 Carries3.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency30
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency81
  • Clutch100
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.11 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Alcorn State.

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.1101.11Wk 1 vs Massachusetts: +0.39 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Alcorn State: +1.11 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Kansas State: +0.28 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Southern Miss: +0.31 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs East Carolina: +0.38 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs South Florida: +0.41 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Memphis: +0.19 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Tulsa: +0.42 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs UCF: +0.24 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs SMU: +0.89 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Cincinnati: +0.04 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs UCF: +0.58 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs USC: +0.59 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsMassachusettsW42-10-30.312/201642077.45510.39
2vsAlcorn StateW52-017/213183085.8-301.11
3@Kansas StateW17-1021.413/261761260.98700.28
4vsSouthern MissL24-27-3.519/292471126.55800.31
6vsEast CarolinaW24-91.127/343262073.3-1610.38
7@South FloridaW45-31-17.023/353292045.81520.41
8vsMemphisW38-286.820/291581074.11910.19
10@TulsaW27-13-6.111/191252164.53600.42
11vsUCFL31-3810.323/392363069.3-410.24
12vsSMUW59-244.79/141413085.47030.89
13@CincinnatiW27-2413.113/221621055.73000.04
14vsUCFW45-2810.320/33394414810.58
1vsUSCW46-4518.98/17234208300.59

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
52.4%
Passing plays
95.0%
Rushing plays
20.9%
Standard downs
47.1%
Passing downs
65.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.27
Passing downs
0.63
Pass / Rush EPA
0.38 / 0.47

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.240−0.312022
EPA per play · 2020 — 2022 · 23 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2020Tulane
2.3
140.1
2022Tulane
6.8
222.1

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.