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Michael Allen

#21Michael Allen

Michael Allen is a Pass-Catching Back for East Carolina.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Michael Allen's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
27 Rush yards1 Rush TD10 Carries2.7 Yards/carry
Receiving
2 Receptions10 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume33
  • Explosiveness0
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving80
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.2600.26Wk 1 vs Alabama: -0.26 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs App State: +0.04 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@AlabamaL10-4820.06152.50-0.26
2vsApp StateL24-27-7.24123.0121000.04

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.4%
Passing plays
5.0%
Rushing plays
18.9%
Standard downs
12.5%
Passing downs
8.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.06
Passing downs
0.00
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.32 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.