#10Mason Garcia

QB·East Carolina·2023

Mason Garcia is a Dual-Threat QB for East Carolina. Mason's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 116 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mason Garcia's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

48/95 Comp/Att408 Pass yards1 Pass TD2 INT50.5% Comp %

Rushing

227 Rush yards2 Rush TD50 Carries4.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume88
Dual-Threat81
Consistency0
Clutch31

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.19 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.40 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Gardner-Webb.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Michigan	L3-30	31.3	11/18	80	0	1	19.5	36	0	0.08
2	vsMarshall	L13-31	-9.0	10/23	62	1	1	38.3	118	0	0.15
3	@App State	L28-43	3.8	2/2	3	0	0	59.7	6	0	-0.33
4	vsGardner-Webb	W44-0	—	9/12	89	0	0	61.2	18	1	0.40
5	@Rice	L17-24	-10.2	—	—	—	—	—	-1	0	-0.52
7	vsSMU	L10-31	10.1	12/26	155	0	0	57.9	38	1	0.21
8	vsCharlotte	L7-10	-21.4	4/14	19	0	0	3.3	12	0	-0.37

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

30.7%

Passing plays

39.3%

Rushing plays

22.0%

Standard downs

27.1%

Passing downs

36.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.10
Passing downs: 0.06
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.04 / 0.30

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).