#6Mason Fine

QB·North Texas·2018 20175.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Mason Fine is a 2-year Clutch Passer for North Texas. Mason's 2018 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 512 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mason Fine's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2018 Production

Passing

303/469 Comp/Att3793 Pass yards27 Pass TD5 INT64.6% Comp %

Rushing

20 Rush yards2 Rush TD69 Carries0.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2018 · vs QB peers

Efficiency15
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency82
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)15th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs SMU (SP+ -5).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSMU	W46-23	-5.4	40/50	444	3	0	-19	0	0.56
2	vsIncarnate Word	W58-16	—	25/40	418	4	1	13	0	0.50
3	@Arkansas	W44-17	4.5	24/45	281	1	0	7	1	0.07
4	@Liberty	W47-7	-19.7	16/27	185	2	0	-2	1	0.23
5	vsLouisiana Tech	L27-29	-6.9	22/35	296	3	0	-24	0	0.29
6	@UTEP	W27-24	-26.6	23/34	294	2	0	-4	0	0.37
7	vsSouthern Miss	W30-7	-5.0	24/38	292	1	0	30	0	0.17
8	@UAB	L21-29	-0.3	29/40	336	3	0	12	0	0.23
9	vsRice	W41-17	-26.4	18/35	333	2	0	-3	0	0.36
11	@Old Dominion	L31-34	-14.1	26/44	240	2	1	-2	0	0.07
12	vsFlorida Atlantic	W41-38	-0.8	22/33	295	2	2	-8	0	0.14
13	@UTSA	W24-21	-22.1	26/36	320	2	1	11	0	0.52
1	vsUtah State	L13-52	14.2	8/12	59	0	0	9	0	0.09

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

54.5%

Passing plays

92.5%

Rushing plays

11.8%

Standard downs

48.2%

Passing downs

68.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.12
Passing downs: 0.54
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.34 / -0.27

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 — 2018 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2017	North Texas	7.1	0.410	—	253.8
2018	North Texas	5.5	0.420	+0.01	196.1

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.