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Marvin Harrison Jr.
Marvin Harrison Jr.

#18Marvin Harrison Jr.

WR·Ohio State·2023

Marvin Harrison Jr. is a Vertical Threat WR for Ohio State. Marvin's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 86 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Marvin Harrison Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
67 Receptions1211 Rec yards14 Rec TD18.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume34
  • Explosiveness74
  • Consistency82
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.81 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.71 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Michigan (SP+ 31).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.710−2.71Wk 1 vs Indiana: +0.17 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Youngstown State: +0.82 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Western Kentucky: +1.31 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Notre Dame: +0.63 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Maryland: +0.73 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Purdue: +1.86 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Penn State: +1.15 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Wisconsin: +2.66 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Rutgers: +1.63 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Michigan State: +1.78 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Minnesota: +0.45 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Michigan: +2.71 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@IndianaW23-3-7.42189.0090.17
2vsYoungstown StateW35-7—716022.92710.82
3vsWestern KentuckyW63-10-2.0512625.21751.31
4@Notre DameW17-1420.133210.70190.63
6vsMarylandW37-1711.0816320.41580.73
7@PurdueW41-7-7.3610517.51341.86
8vsPenn StateW20-1223.51116214.71351.15
9@WisconsinW24-109.4612320.52352.66
10@RutgersW35-163.54256.32161.63
11vsMichigan StateW38-3-6.8714921.32571.78
12vsMinnesotaW37-30.433010.01200.45
13@MichiganL24-3031.3511823.61442.71

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.8%
Passing plays
23.6%
Rushing plays
0.3%
Standard downs
9.5%
Passing downs
18.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.06
Passing downs
1.58
Pass / Rush EPA
1.26 / 2.60

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.