#3Malachi Singleton

QB·Purdue·2025

Malachi Singleton is a Dual-Threat QB for Purdue. Malachi's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 69 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Malachi Singleton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

38/64 Comp/Att439 Pass yards5 Pass TD2 INT59.4% Comp %

Rushing

202 Rush yards1 Rush TD49 Carries4.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume45
Dual-Threat82
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.68 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.11 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Illinois (SP+ 13).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsBall State	W31-0	-23.0	2/3	29	0	0	42.8	17	0	0.38
3	vsUSC	L17-33	16.9	—	—	—	—	—	4	0	-0.02
4	@Notre Dame	L30-56	24.4	3/4	39	1	1	66.8	26	0	0.14
6	vsIllinois	L27-43	12.9	—	—	—	—	—	2	0	1.11
7	@Minnesota	L20-27	1.5	0/1	0	0	0	100.0	73	1	1.03
8	@Northwestern	L0-19	5.8	11/20	187	0	1	23.1	20	0	0.00
9	vsRutgers	L24-27	1.0	2/3	11	2	0	51.8	11	0	0.55
10	@Michigan	L16-21	12.4	1/2	5	0	0	50.3	24	0	-0.32
11	vsOhio State	L10-34	30.1	3/3	18	1	0	3.1	5	0	0.15
12	@Washington	L13-49	18.4	16/28	150	1	0	71.7	22	0	0.07
14	vsIndiana	L3-56	32.4	—	—	—	—	—	-2	0	-1.20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

15.8%

Passing plays

16.8%

Rushing plays

15.0%

Standard downs

16.7%

Passing downs

14.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.04
Passing downs: 0.71
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.15 / 0.31

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).