#0Malachi Hosley

RB·Georgia Tech·2025

Malachi Hosley is a Explosive Back for Georgia Tech. Malachi's 2025 season ranks in the 93th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 114 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Malachi Hosley's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

697 Rush yards7 Rush TD98 Carries7.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

14 Receptions119 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency93
Volume38
Explosiveness82
Consistency49
Receiving59

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)93th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency49th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.12 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.08 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Temple (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Colorado	W27-20	-8.3	7	47	6.7	0	1	24	0	0.31
2	vsGardner-Webb	W59-12	—	9	100	11.1	2	—	—	—	0.21
3	vsClemson	W24-21	9.5	3	13	4.3	0	2	1	0	-0.15
4	vsTemple	W45-24	-5.1	5	59	11.8	2	—	—	—	1.08
5	@Wake Forest	W30-29	5.7	8	36	4.5	0	2	7	0	0.02
7	vsVirginia Tech	W35-20	-10.1	11	129	11.7	1	—	—	—	0.74
8	@Duke	W27-18	6.6	11	23	2.1	1	—	—	—	-0.25
9	vsSyracuse	W41-16	-13.1	8	81	10.1	0	—	—	—	0.64
10	@NC State	L36-48	4.8	6	30	5.0	0	1	16	0	0.68
12	@Boston College	W36-34	-8.5	15	107	7.1	1	3	47	0	0.54
13	vsPittsburgh	L28-42	8.4	1	3	3.0	0	3	12	0	-0.38
14	vsGeorgia	L9-16	24.1	3	6	2.0	0	1	-1	0	-0.23
20	vsBYU	L21-25	15.9	11	63	5.7	0	1	13	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

13.3%

Passing plays

4.3%

Rushing plays

21.7%

Standard downs

13.9%

Passing downs

11.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.36
Passing downs: 0.14
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.35 / 0.30

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).