#6Maalik Murphy

QB·Oregon State·2025 2024

Maalik Murphy is a Volume Passer for Oregon State. Maalik's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 273 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Maalik Murphy's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

160/276 Comp/Att1802 Pass yards9 Pass TD8 INT58.0% Comp %

Rushing

-58 Rush yards1 Rush TD23 Carries-2.5 Yards/carry

Punting

4 Punts122 Punt yards30.5 Yards/punt36 Long2 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat46
Consistency66
Clutch27

Player type

Volume Passer

High-rep offense that leans on this QB's arm — value comes through cumulative production across a high number of plays.

High play countFranchise-volume role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.43 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Fresno State (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsCalifornia	L15-34	-3.2	21/33	244	0	1	43.1	15	1	0.30
2	vsFresno State	L27-36	1.8	31/48	371	4	2	64.6	-15	0	0.43
3	@Texas Tech	L14-45	27.6	24/43	278	2	2	32.5	-20	0	0.18
4	@Oregon	L7-41	25.9	5/18	68	0	0	66.6	1	0	0.15
5	vsHouston	L24-27	7.4	20/33	201	1	0	57.6	9	0	0.03
6	@App State	L23-27	-11.4	30/45	358	2	2	72.6	-13	0	0.22
7	vsWake Forest	L14-39	5.7	13/30	130	0	1	12.0	-10	0	-0.23
8	vsLafayette	W45-13	—	9/12	69	0	0	25.5	-6	0	0.25
10	vsWashington State	W10-7	3.8	2/3	27	0	0	6.8	-19	0	0.00
12	@Tulsa	L14-31	-10.0	5/11	56	0	0	21.0	—	—	0.22

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

43.5%

Passing plays

79.0%

Rushing plays

4.5%

Standard downs

36.8%

Passing downs

57.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.22
Passing downs: 0.16
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.20 / 0.13

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.