Luke McCaffrey is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Rice. Luke's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 106 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Texas | L10-37 | 23.2 | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 1 | 15 | 1.39 |
| 2 | vsHouston | W43-41 | -7.8 | 7 | 99 | 14.1 | 2 | 32 | 0.64 |
| 3 | vsTexas Southern | W59-7 | — | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 1 | 36 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Rec 3 · Rec Yds 29 · Avg 9.7 · Rec TD 1
| 0.54 |
| 4 | @South Florida | L29-42 | -6.6 | 9 | 199 | 22.1 | 0 | 51 | 1.65 |
| 5 | vsEast Carolina | W24-17 | -12.8 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 0 | 33 | -0.01 |
| 6 | vsUConn | L31-38 | -15.6 | 7 | 100 | 14.3 | 2 | 30 | 1.18 |
| 8 | @Tulsa | W42-10 | -13.7 | 6 | 99 | 16.5 | 1 | 29 | 0.41 |
| 9 | vsTulane | L28-30 | 2.8 | 5 | 79 | 15.8 | 1 | 35 | 0.91 |
| 10 | vsSMU | L31-36 | 10.1 | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | 1 | 6 | 0.24 |
| 11 | @UTSA | L14-34 | 5.4 | 6 | 68 | 11.3 | 1 | 27 | 1.14 |
| 12 | @Charlotte | W28-7 | -21.4 | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 1 | 20 | 1.74 |
| 13 | vsFlorida Atlantic | W24-21 | -9.4 | 12 | 141 | 11.8 | 1 | 30 | 0.54 |
| 1 | vsTexas State | L21-45 | -1.6 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 1 | 13 | 0.41 |
