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Leshon Williams

#4Leshon Williams

Leshon Williams is a Explosive Back for Kansas. Leshon's 2025 season ranks in the 70th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 101 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Leshon Williams's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
565 Rush yards7 Rush TD97 Carries5.8 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions73 Rec yards2 Rec TD14.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency70
  • Volume41
  • Explosiveness56
  • Consistency7
  • Receiving28
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)70th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency7th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.34 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.64 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Iowa State (SP+ 10).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.6401.64Wk 2 vs Missouri: -0.69 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs West Virginia: +0.18 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Cincinnati: -0.00 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs UCF: +0.48 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Texas Tech: +0.30 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Kansas State: -0.24 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Oklahoma State: +0.40 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Arizona: -0.36 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Iowa State: +1.64 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Utah: +0.22 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
0vsFresno StateW31-71.86579.511160
2@MissouriL31-4214.4300.00-0.69
4vsWest VirginiaW41-10-6.8191296.8113910.18
5vsCincinnatiL34-374.510646.40-0.00
6@UCFW27-20-1.212584.830.48
7@Texas TechL17-4227.6561.2011010.30
9vsKansas StateL17-427.0252.50-0.24
10vsOklahoma StateW38-21-15.114775.511700.40
11@ArizonaL20-2412.07233.30110-0.36
13@Iowa StateL14-389.944210.511.64
14vsUtahL21-3122.2151046.900.22

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
14.5%
Passing plays
2.2%
Rushing plays
25.9%
Standard downs
17.2%
Passing downs
7.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.28
Passing downs
0.06
Pass / Rush EPA
0.75 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.