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Lance LeGendre
Lance LeGendre

#9Lance LeGendre

WR·Louisiana·2024

Lance LeGendre is a Versatile WR for Louisiana. Lance's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 50 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Lance LeGendre's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
49 Receptions826 Rec yards6 Rec TD16.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume17
  • Explosiveness66
  • Consistency86
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸13 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.52 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 3.57 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Coastal Carolina (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+3.570−3.57Wk 1 vs Grambling: +0.70 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Kennesaw State: +1.61 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Tulane: +1.52 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Wake Forest: +2.00 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Southern Miss: +2.00 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs App State: +1.26 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Coastal Carolina: +3.57 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Texas State: +1.98 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Arkansas State: +0.80 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs South Alabama: +0.60 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Troy: +1.56 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs UL Monroe: +1.39 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Marshall: +1.43 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsGramblingW40-10—22311.50190.70
2@Kennesaw StateW34-10-25.112020.00201.61
4vsTulaneL33-415.735719.00241.52
5@Wake ForestW41-38-5.7612320.52482.00
6@Southern MissW23-13-25.623216.01172.00
7vsApp StateW34-24-8.146716.80281.26
8@Coastal CarolinaW34-24-6.925929.51333.57
10@Texas StateW23-175.437625.30371.98
11vsArkansas StateW55-19-9.945814.50220.80
12vsSouth AlabamaL22-242.877510.70210.60
13vsTroyW51-30-6.6610918.21441.56
14@UL MonroeW37-23-16.74348.51151.39
15vsMarshallL3-313.148120.30471.43
20vsTCUL3-3410.811212.0012—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.1%
Passing plays
12.3%
Rushing plays
0.4%
Standard downs
5.4%
Passing downs
8.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.03
Passing downs
1.90
Pass / Rush EPA
1.37 / 0.60

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.