#25Lache Seastrunk

RB·Baylor·20131.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Lache Seastrunk is a Committee Back for Baylor. Lache's 2013 season ranks in the 35th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 139 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Lache Seastrunk's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Rushing

1177 Rush yards11 Rush TD158 Carries7.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs RB peers

Efficiency35
Volume51
Explosiveness88
Consistency63
Receiving0

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)35th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency63th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.17 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.39 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Wofford.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsWofford	W69-3	—	11	111	10.1	2	0.39
2	vsBuffalo	W70-13	-9.0	17	150	8.8	3	0.28
4	vsUL Monroe	W70-7	-26.2	10	156	15.6	1	0.30
6	vsWest Virginia	W73-42	-0.9	15	172	11.5	2	0.10
7	@Kansas State	W35-25	21.7	12	59	4.9	0	-0.02
8	vsIowa State	W71-7	-3.8	18	112	6.2	2	0.11
9	@Kansas	W59-14	-9.7	13	109	8.4	1	0.07
11	vsOklahoma	W41-12	19.6	6	19	3.2	0	-0.05
14	@TCU	W41-38	12.4	24	94	3.9	0	0.04
15	vsTexas	W30-10	10.5	15	78	5.2	0	-0.13
1	vsUCF	L42-52	12.3	17	117	6.9	0	0.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

17.8%

Passing plays

0.0%

Rushing plays

31.1%

Standard downs

20.2%

Passing downs

11.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.05
Passing downs: 0.38
Pass / Rush EPA: — / 0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.