#2Keyvone Lee

RB·UNLV·2025

Keyvone Lee is a Pass-Catching Back for UNLV. Keyvone's 2025 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 114 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Keyvone Lee's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

440 Rush yards6 Rush TD100 Carries4.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

19 Receptions164 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency8
Volume37
Explosiveness28
Consistency51
Receiving69

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)8th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency51th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.43 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.47 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs UCLA (SP+ -9).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
0	vsIdaho State	W38-31	—	5	5	1.0	0	1	-1	0	—
1	vsSam Houston	W38-21	-27.8	7	42	6.0	0	—	—	—	0.08
2	vsUCLA	W30-23	-8.7	1	19	19.0	1	2	27	0	1.47
4	@Miami (OH)	W41-38	-3.4	11	47	4.3	1	2	12	0	0.20
6	@Wyoming	W31-17	-11.3	5	17	3.4	1	—	—	—	0.61
7	vsAir Force	W51-48	-3.2	6	59	9.8	1	—	—	—	0.80
8	@Boise State	L31-56	3.1	9	24	2.7	0	—	—	—	-0.14
10	vsNew Mexico	L35-40	0.9	6	17	2.8	1	3	18	0	0.11
11	@Colorado State	W42-10	-15.6	12	46	3.8	0	4	51	0	0.36
12	vsUtah State	W29-26	-3.1	11	43	3.9	0	3	22	0	0.07
13	vsHawai'i	W38-10	1.7	9	48	5.3	1	2	15	0	0.20
14	@Nevada	W42-17	-13.4	7	10	1.4	0	—	—	—	-0.48
15	@Boise State	L21-38	3.1	7	58	8.3	0	1	8	0	0.19
20	vsOhio	L10-17	-4.0	4	5	1.3	0	1	12	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

13.1%

Passing plays

5.0%

Rushing plays

21.0%

Standard downs

14.5%

Passing downs

9.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.23
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.33 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).