Skip to content
Ken Seals

#9Ken Seals

QB·TCU·2025

Ken Seals is a Clutch Passer for TCU. Ken's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 51 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ken Seals's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
33/46 Comp/Att282 Pass yards1 Pass TD2 INT71.7% Comp %
Rushing
-2 Rush yards1 Rush TD9 Carries-0.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume77
  • Dual-Threat36
  • Consistency50
  • Clutch100
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.0901.09Wk 1 vs North Carolina: -1.09 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Abilene Christian: -0.83 EPA/play3
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1@North CarolinaW48-14-6.60/10000.1-1.09
3vsAbilene ChristianW42-214/524015.3-0.83
20vsUSCW30-2716.929/402581165.0-21

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
27.1%
Passing plays
43.8%
Rushing plays
6.6%
Standard downs
22.0%
Passing downs
40.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.26
Passing downs
0.81
Pass / Rush EPA
0.25 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.