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Kedon Slovis

#10Kedon Slovis

Kedon Slovis is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for BYU. Kedon's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 223 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kedon Slovis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2019

3-Star · Developmental
Stars
247 composite
0.8726
National rank
#689
High school
Desert Mountain
Hometown
Scottsdale, AZ

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2023 Production

Passing
153/266 Comp/Att1716 Pass yards12 Pass TD6 INT57.5% Comp %
Rushing
-41 Rush yards3 Rush TD29 Carries-1.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency50
  • Clutch68
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency50th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.21 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.86 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Southern Utah.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8600.86Wk 1 vs Sam Houston: -0.00 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Southern Utah: +0.86 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Arkansas: +0.18 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Kansas: +0.27 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Cincinnati: +0.62 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs TCU: -0.45 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Texas Tech: +0.17 EPA/play8
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsSam HoustonW14-0-13.820/331450032.922-0.00
2vsSouthern UtahW41-1622/323484181.7610.86
3@ArkansasW38-313.513/251672070.6-1000.18
4@KansasL27-389.930/513572259.2-2400.27
5vsCincinnatiW35-27-6.813/242232079.6400.62
7@TCUL11-447.915/34152019.1-200-0.45
8vsTexas TechW27-146.115/271272062.9-700.17
9@TexasL6-3523.225/401970227.980

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
57.8%
Passing plays
98.7%
Rushing plays
7.5%
Standard downs
57.3%
Passing downs
58.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.20
Passing downs
0.34
Pass / Rush EPA
0.23 / 0.61

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.840−0.572020
EPA per play · 2019 — 2020 · 18 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2019USC
10.8
260.2
2020USC
10.5
145.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.